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To sanction Russia or to make a deal?


People who personally experienced the Russian way of life or studied and understood it know that “making a deal” with Russia may be much better for the US than “making sanctions” against Russia.

 

To understand why is it so, we have to remember one of the Judeo-Christian fundamental concepts, which is almost lost in the current politically correct thinking, that we the humans are created not as one spiritually homogeneous human herd but rather as many spiritually competing human groups – competing with each other, ideally without killing and humiliating each other. However, the current sanctions against Russia are humiliating to the Russians.

 

The sanctions are aimed at making an ordinary Russian (both rich and poor) suffer in hope that the ordinary Russians will force their government to surrender to American demands (in regard to Crimea, Eastern Ukraine, Syria, suppression of opposition, etc.) in order to have the US and Europe removing the sanctions. The politically correct idea behind the sanctions is that the Russian people are willing to accept a political surrender of their government to restore the wellbeing of their citizens (“the government loses – the people wins”). However, this idea is wrong – the entire Russian history and the true Russian tradition is the evidence of the wrongness of this idea.

 

To understand the wrongness of this idea, one has to know one of the crucial differences in spiritual beliefs of the two peoples:

 

          American people of traditional American-brand Judeo-Christian values believe that the wellbeing of citizens is much more important than the wellbeing of the State represented by the government.

 

          Russian people of traditional Russian-brand Christian values believe that the wellbeing of the State represented by its government is more important than the wellbeing of the citizens themselves.

 

Therefore, the Russian majority would treat the surrender of their government as humiliation of the entire country. The restoration of perceived indignation may lead to various military actions that may lead even to WWIII. It looks like the “sanction forces” in the US establishment led by Senator John McCain do not appreciate such Russian mind-set that may lead indeed to a war.

 

To reduce the probability of a war, the “making a deal” approach looks much better. In this case, America is reaching its goals without humiliating Russia. Two conditions are needed for this approach to be successful. First, our military should be strengthen to the level at which it becomes obvious for Russia a war with the US/NATO will bring a true humiliation to this country. Second, Russia has to have its own domain of strategic and economic influence – maybe shared with the US – to preserve an internal “feeling” of being a great nation and to have a base for improving the economy.

 

There are many ways for achieving this in a “making a deal” with Russia if a current US pro-Russian-sanction hysteria recedes.

 

How to figure out what is the Putin’s world strategy


The article “Putin the Improviser” in Wall Street Journal is analyzing the attempts to figure out what is the Putin’s strategy in Ukraine – see at

http://www.wsj.com/articles/putin-the-improviser-1424473405?mod=trending_now_2

The article describes this in the following way:

“After this week’s devastating military setbacks for the Ukrainian government, Western observers are trying urgently to get inside the head of Vladimir Putin. But the practitioners of this burgeoning cottage industry—call it Putinology—are missing one essential point: Mr. Putin has largely been improvising his way through the current crisis. That means that the Ukraine showdown is even scarier and more dangerous than you think: Mr. Putin is making it up as he goes along.

The Russian leader has routinely experimented with (and quickly jettisoned) any number of concepts, strategies and approaches, all in the name of gaining short-term advantage. Mr. Putin may be living “in another world,” as German Chancellor Angela Merkel reportedly suggested to President Barack Obama—but in our world, which Mr. Putin is busily remaking, he seems to think that keeping his opponents guessing and off-balance is an end in itself.

In opinion columns and books, the Putinologists have been struggling to explain the thinking of the man who, almost single-handedly, seems to be dragging much of the West into a new Cold War. Like their Kremlinologist forebears, they try to decode Moscow’s intentions through painstaking analyses of the Russian leader’s every public utterance or symbol-laden photo op; they comb through minute aspects of Mr. Putin’s career and private life; they sift for clues in the output of Russia’s sprawling state propaganda apparatus. A lucky few even get invited to come to Russia once a year to sit down over elegant meals with the man himself and other mandarins and courtiers who spin them on how things really look from Moscow.”

That’s true – that is the way how the Punitologists are trying to figure out what are Putin’s intentions.

However, it is difficult, or even almost impossible, to figure out the Putin’s world strategy by analyzing his tactical movements on Ukraine or somewhere else.

It is much easier if the analysis is based on the Russian history and true spiritual aspirations. Read the rest of this entry

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